Politicker Staff's blog

The Pindell Report, Politicker.com's political and campaign forecast, has released its final projections for Election Day. Using polling, historical and demographic trends, tracking campaign visits and spending, The Pindell Report ranks races in terms of their competitiveness and their status as either a toss-up or leaning or likely voting in a particular way.

In New Hampshire The Pindell Report's final breakdown is as follows:

Here is a simple chart of predictions in key New Hampshire races.

Democrats will keep both New Hampshire congressional seats as part of a national trend that will net them at least seven U.S. Senate seats and 16 House seats nationwide, according to James Pindell, the editor of Politicker.com's Pindell Report, which provides independent analysis of federal and state races.

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MANCHESTER - Speaking at the Puritan Backroom in Manchester, Governor John Lynch kicked off his General Election campaign tonight. Full remarks from his speech are below. 

RESULTS:

1st District Republican Primary
Numbers: Bradley 51%, Stephen 47%, Michael 2%, Jarvis 1%

The bottom line: Bradley wins despite low turnout primary and momentum that favored Stephen

• Bradley says primary will help in November

• Stephen: ‘This is not a defeat’
• Dems prepare for general
  
• NRCC ties Shea-Porter to D.C.
• Stephen concedes defeat to Bradley

• NH-1: Stephen wins North Hampton
• Stephen wins Manchester by a 2 to 1 margin
• Londonderry having light voting day
• Manchester politicians deployed to voting locations
• Low-turnout across Manchester

2nd District Republican Primary
Numbers: Horn 40%, Clegg 34%, Steiner 14%, Bosse 9%
The bottom line: Horn has convincing win district-wide and greatly aided by her hometown of Nashua

• Horn wins family style

• Clegg does last minute campaigning at Ward 2
• Voter turnout slow in Nashua
• Slow day at Concord polling stations

State Senate
Numbers. Dist. 2: Tobin 79%, Dinghman, 21. District 3: Denley 47, Babson 34, Cataldo 18%. District 7: Sanborn 58 percent, Elliot 42%.

The bottom line: Of the three primary winners Denley has probably the only shot at becoming a state senator.

• Sanborn looking forward to a positive, substantive general election race

• Sanborn projected to win SD-7 GOP primary

• Tobin sees philosophical different with Reynolds after primary win

• Tobin bests Dingman in SD-2
  
• Denley looking forward to highlighting educational funding issue
• Denley takes SD-3 GOP primary

Governor's race

• Kenney to Lynch: ‘I'm a New Hampshire guy and I'm going to take you on
• National Dems congratulate Lynch

Executive Council race

• St. Hilaire easily wins Executive Council primary

ANALYSIS:

James Pindell

• Nine questions for primary night

Dante Scala

• NH-1: Where it stands
• What we know about NH-1 so far
• NH-1: Bradley has early lead in Dover, Somersworth
• Manchester’s low turnout is striking
• NH-1: Watch the Seacoast
• NH-1: Looking at Bradley's base