UNH polls

Andy Smith, director of the UNH Survey Center, is predicting that the Democratic federal candidates will win in New Hampshire.
 
"Barack Obama looks to win New Hampshire by a comfortable margin on Tuesday. In the race for U.S. Senate, Shaheen should win a narrow victory over incumbent John Sununu," Smith writes in his latest poll. "In Congressional races, incumbent Paul Hodes is predicted to win New Hampshire's 2nd District and incumbent Carol Shea-Porter looks to pull out a narrow victory in the 1st District."

The daily UNH/WMUR tracking poll shows the races in New Hampshire narrowing, but still outside the reach of Republicans.

In the presidential contest John McCain has narrowed Barack Obama's lead to 11 points. McCain made up ground all week among Republicans. The poll finds that 88 percent of Republicans now support McCain, up from 74 percent earlier this week. That said, Obama has 53 percent of independents supporting his campaign.

Below are the latest results from UNH/WMUR tracking poll, which shows narrowing races in the U.S. Senate race and the 1st Congressional District race.

The UNH/WMUR tracking poll has U.S. Rep. Paul Hodes (D-Concord) and U.S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D-Rochester) expanding their leads over their Republican opponents.

Hodes is leading Jennifer Horn (R-Nashua) 51 percent to 21 percent with 27 percent undecided. Yesterday's poll had Hodes at 48 percent and Horn at 26 percent.

A newly released WMUR/UNH poll has the Democratic candidate leading their Republican rivals in all major races in the Granite State.

In the presidential contest, Barack Obama is leading John McCain 55 percent to 39 percent, while in the U.S. Senate race, former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D-Madbury) is beating U.S. Sen. John Sununu (R-Waterville Valley) 49 percent to 38 percent.

A new poll has the major Democratic candidates leading their Republican opponents in New Hampshire.

A Boston Globe poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire's Survey Center, has former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D-Madbury) beating U.S. Sen. John Sununu (R-Waterville Valley) 49 percent to 36 percent. In the 1st Congressional District U.S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D-Rochester) is leading former U.S. Rep. Jeb Bradley (R-Wolfeboro) 44 percent to 39 percent while in the 2nd Congressional District U.S. Rep. Paul Hodes (D-Concord) is leading Jennifer Horn (R-Nashua) 51 percent to 25 percent.

One day the University of New Hampshire releases a poll showing former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D-Madbury) with a small lead over U.S. Sen. John Sununu (R-Waterville Valley), the next day Rasmussen releases a poll that shows Sununu with a lead over Shaheen.  Both polls showed John McCain with a lead over Barack Obama but Marist College conducted a poll that had Obama beating McCain by three points.

Earlier this week in the 2nd Congressional District, Jennifer Horn's (R-Nashua) campaign released a poll that had Horn in a tight race with U.S. Rep. Paul Hodes (D-Concord), a couple days later Hodes released a poll that, you guessed it, showed Hodes with a substantial lead over Horn.

For some it might be a contradiction, but for others it is simply just another week in New Hampshire politics.  In a state in which polls showed Barack Obama with a double-digit lead over Hillary Clinton, only to see Clinton defeat Obama on primary day, having polls that shows close races and opposite results has become as common has the fall foliage.

A University of New Hampshire poll puts former U.S. Rep. Jeb Bradley (R-Wolfeboro) and U.S. Rep. Paul Hodes (D-Concord) ahead in their respective races.

In the 1st Congressional District Bradley is beating incumbent U.S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D-Rochester) 45 percent to 42 percent with 12 percent undecided. In the 2nd Congressional District Hodes is leading Jennifer Horn (R-Nashua) 38 percent to 26 percent with 33 undecided.

A new UNH poll shows that a majority of Granite Staters oppose the 2003 decision to invade Iraq.

The Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, reports that 57 percent of residents oppose the Unite States invading Iraq and 37 percent favor support the decision.

A University of New Hampshire poll shows U.S. Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) leading his rival U.S. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) a day before the presumptive GOP presidential nominee is scheduled to campaign in the Granite State.

The Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, has Obama leading McCain 46 percent to 43 percent. An poll conducted in the spring had McCain beating Obama 49 percent to 43 percent. The poll also has 51 percent of likely voters saying they "definitely" know who they will be voting for in November. Obama's lead is within the margin-of-error of +/- 4.3 percent.