A new ARG poll shows Jeanne Shaheen leading John Sununu by nine percentage points, 51%-42%, in the race for United States Senator. Every independent poll over the last month has shown Shaheen ahead:
SurveyUSA (10/4-10/5) Shaheen 48%, Sununu 40%
Rasmussen Reports (10/1) Shaheen 50%, Sununu 45%
Research 2000 (9/22-9/24) Shaheen 50%, Sununu 41%
Strategic Vision (9/22-9/24) Shaheen 47%, Sununu 45%
Suffolk University (9/20-9/24) Shaheen 41%, Sununu 40%
National Journal (9/18-9/22) Shaheen 48%, Sununu 39%
UNH (9/14-9/21) Shaneen 48%, Sununu 44%
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Some more back-of-the-envelope analysis of the 2008 results:
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